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Hillbilly Report A Progressive Community Forum For Rural Americans. Sign Up And Blog Away. "City Slickers Are Welcome, Too." Take the time to visit the folks over at The-News-Forum too.

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BREAKING: Mongiardo and Conway poll numbers on the way

by: Shack

Wed May 27, 2009 at 22:20:46 PM EDT


We are hearing from a very reliable source that a poll in regards to the Democratic primary for US Senate will be released soon. We also hear that this poll is bad news and devastating for Jack Conway. 

We can only speculate and provide blind analysis. Early polling is very important for a candidate's ability to fundraise, especially when the primary is a year away. The next reporting period will set the table for this developing Democratic primary for US Senate. I guess we will have to wait and see what the poll reflects. 

This in not an attack on Conway but I have to ask the question; what if Conway is getting crushed? Does he soldier on and climb the mountain or does he consider another move? We have a super long time to go so anything can happen.

 

Shack :: BREAKING: Mongiardo and Conway poll numbers on the way
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Wow!! (0.00 / 0)
I really hope a poll is coming out either way. It would be nice to have a guage at how this race is going and have something to write about from this race besides the Republican Soap Opera!!

I don't think that one bad poll should signal the end for either Democrat's campaign. Hopefully, this primary will allow for both of them to show how strong they can be. The competition will only help them in the fall if it doesn't get too ugly.

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Polls (4.00 / 1)
don't mean anything this early in the race.

Mark Twain: "When the end of the world comes, I want to be in Kentucky because it's always twenty years behind the times."

i'm actually responding... (0.00 / 0)
...to both of the comments above.

generic polling is of little value this far out...but good-quality "issue" polling can get you started testing a message now...before you go out and do the rubber chicken circuit for a year before the primary.

it also allows you to identify the hot-button issues that you might want to use for early fundraising.

beyond that, you can start to test your likely opponent's potential vulnerabilities--which can also help fundraising.

as for two democrats competing against each other: if both candidates work a positive campaign, and both are more or less progressive, there is a real chance for the efforts of both to help the eventual winner.

a positive campaign also means the rs won't use negative statements from the losing primary candidiate in the general.

a negative campaign, however, might end up being more of a political distraction than a chance to advance a progressive agenda.

"outside of a dog, a book is a man's best friend. inside of a dog it's too dark to read."  --groucho marx


[ Parent ]
Polls (0.00 / 0)
as headlines are spin unless the data is illuminated aanndd reported, instead of used as spin bait.  If Mangyardo is ahead show us the numbers.  If the numbers are onthe way, report the waybill and the date of delivery, don't tell us the results without the data.

Result of polling is speculation without the numbers.

This isn't breaking news, if 2 days after the headline you don't have numbers.  This is a campaign press release.
Be sure to show this as an in-kind services donation to Mangy-ardos' camp-aim.  I'm gonna tell Jacob about the don-8-ed muny.

Get the pixel or are you guys pixilated?


Well (0.00 / 0)
I guess I will just keep my hillbilly ass over at TRD.  

[ Parent ]
Actually (4.00 / 1)
you're welcome anywhere in the Party - or where there's a party.  You may even leave the band at home.

[ Parent ]
BimBeau (4.00 / 1)
read Community Guidelines and stick to the subject.  

Mark Twain: "When the end of the world comes, I want to be in Kentucky because it's always twenty years behind the times."

[ Parent ]
I'm (4.00 / 1)
with ya on that. No need for that stuff.  

[ Parent ]
The topic is (4.00 / 1)
poles.  I'm questioning the accuracy of the pouls.  I'm questioning the veracity of the polls.  I'm questioning the methodology and the intent.  I'm questioning the whole maggilla.

You guys are supporters of Mongiardo, who in my self-exalted opinion is the best Republican (and the only one that can be trusted) in the race.  I'm a Conway supporter, but believe there are a couple a gays or gals much better suited - and like you - I'm so completely suspicious of big-sitty liberals who look-down on us out in the sticks.  Whether its 1000 Sticks or White Plains;  Monkey's Eybrow or Rabbit Hash;  Rabbit Ridge or Flamming Neon;  Louisville & Lexington Democrats only THINK they've the answer;  they're as off-base as the sittified Republican'ts.

We know we've got to dig coal;  we know how hard it is to keep jobs &  people at home.  We know we've got to burn the coal & clean the stack-gas;  precipitate the ash and trap the pollutants.  All they want to do is spin windmills, trap the rays and find excuses not to drive our cars while they use theirs.

So ... what's the problem?  Don't like dissent?
.


[ Parent ]
BimBeau (4.00 / 1)
differences of opinion are great and your input is valued, but when you say:
Be sure to show this as an in-kind services donation to Mangy-ardos' camp-aim.  I'm gonna tell Jacob about the don-8-ed muny.

I really have to question your sincerity.
BimBeau I realize there are differences of opinion as to who will make the best senator. That's only human and if you support Jack Conway I hope you will consider writing a diary about that.
I'm not going to take sides on this race, at this time, but I hope we get diaries from folks like you that have made their choice.

Mark Twain: "When the end of the world comes, I want to be in Kentucky because it's always twenty years behind the times."

[ Parent ]
I (0.00 / 0)
Will say that you make me laugh dude. Your poetic preaching never ceases to entertain me. I bet your thumbs have caluses from flipping through your thesarsus.  

[ Parent ]
BimBeau (0.00 / 0)
Neither myself or Jim is supporting either right now. This is not a site for Mongiardo, or Conway or any other candidate. Shack does support Mongiardo, but this is a site for all Democrats. We hope to make a difference for rural candidates nationwide and that is basically our stated goal. Shack is free to write Mongiardo diaries, and you or anyone else that wants to sign up is free to post diaries on any candidate they want. All we ask is that the candidate fights for Progressive issues, and is a Democrat. I feel both Mongiardo and Conway qualify. I try to keep my diaries on that race neutral, because honestly I admire Conway and Mongiardo both.

Myself as a moderator, I believe in as little censorship as possible. On national blogs I have had comments I made about the ridiculousness of the "Magic Bullet Theory" (Joe Sestak for Senate) and it is agrrevating. However, on this blog we are really hoping to maintain it without personal attacks or insults to other users and candidates. Genuine dissent and explanation of why is always encouraged. We just want to refrain from getting personal with each other because in the end we are really all fighting for the same thing and are on the same team.

By your comments you are obviously quite intelligent and I hope you know you are welcome to write diaries for Conway, leave ActBlue links or whatever you want. This blog is no way "in the bag" for Mongiardo. I invited Shack to write here and will invite Conway supporters too once some write diaries here. All we want is discussion without insult. We will delete comments that seem like personal attacks and smears.

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[ Parent ]
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